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And you would be right- Education, Not Income, Predicted Who Would Vote For


And you would be right- Education, Not Income, Predicted Who Would Vote For  

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Author: TheCrow   Date: 5/25/2021 3:41:17 PM  +3/-1   Show Orig. Msg (this window) Or  In New Window


As Nate Silver points out in this article, it's diificult to parse that scupulously as achievement in education is stongly tied to financial success in America. But it can be done and Trump's political strategy demonstrably did exactly that.


That's why Trump's catch phrase "Make America Great Again" worked so well- it evokes a sentimental memory of a dim past n which blue collar work paid quite well, in a world economy therwise in a post war shambles, manufacturing abroad greatly diminished with wrecked factories and infrastructure,


That world does not exist anymore. And, it can't be recreated by American isolationism. Sweatshop labor in 3rd world exonomies is morally reprehensible, but starvation in it's place is even less acceptable. Example- a pair of blue jeans made in America would cost $205 while using overseas workers makes them available for $60.


There's two ways to look at those facts- the quality of life made possible in America by employing and purchasinf products made by low cost foreign workers; and the improvement in the quality of life for those workers by selling to Americans. And the knowledge that a population gainfully employed in mutually profitable commercial exchange aren't likely to start wars.


Education, Not Income, Predicted Who Would Vote For Trump




education-4by3-2


Sometimes statistical analysis is tricky, and sometimes a finding just jumps off the page. Here’s one example of the latter.


I took a list of all 981 U.S. counties1 with 50,000 or more people2 and sorted it by the share of the population3 that had completed at least a four-year college degree. Hillary Clinton improved on President Obama’s 2012 performance in 48 of the country’s 50 most-well-educated counties. And on average, she improved on Obama’s margin of victory in these countries by almost 9 percentage points, even though Obama had done pretty well in them to begin with.



 
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