Okay, let's assume for argument that your numbers are true- 1200 deaths versus 462 million doses.
Covid kills about 2% of the infected- United States Coronavirus Cases: 49,631,373; Deaths: 805,643.
Vaccinate or take your chances. Yeah, you could still have a breakthrough infection. That will most probably be a much less severe illness, with about 3% chance of hospitalization compared to unvaccinated infected.
The claim: Deaths following COVID-19 vaccination are because of the vaccine
As the U.S. reaches an unfortunate landmark in coronavirus deaths — over 500,000 on Tuesday, a number unsurpassed by any other nation — one meme on social media is drawing attention to deaths following COVID-19 vaccination.
"What's your thoughts? Have you heard these stories?" asks one Feb. 19 Instagram post depicting the "I Guess I'll Die" meme – an image of a man in a red turtleneck shrugging – surrounded by nine different headlines from various news outlets reporting post-vaccination deaths.
Three of the headlines involve deaths in Portugal, Brazil and Norway; the other six involve two health workers in California, a Florida doctor, a Virginia woman in her 40s and New York man in his 70s.
While not explicit in its messaging, the juxtaposition of the headlines around the central meme, often used to convey resignation to death, suggests the vaccine may be the culprit. Many of the post's comments echo the sentiment, likening the vaccine to the infamously unethical Tuskegee syphilis study on Black men, which falsely advertised treatment for "bad blood," a term commonly used for a garden variety of ailments.
"If people get (the vaccine) they are insane: Tuskegee Experiment with a twist," wrote one commentator.
"Hard pass ... I urge you all to research the Tuskegee experiment if you haven't already," another wrote. "We are guinea pigs. Don't play yourself."
On social media, news of these deaths quickly morphed into the claim that Pfizer's vaccine was singularly responsible. This allegation was further compounded by the death of 86-year-old former Atlanta Braves athlete Hank Aaron nearly three weeks after his first vaccine dose on Jan. 22.
Aaron's death is not believed associated with the vaccine. Similarly, an ongoing investigation by the Norwegian Medicines Agency and the Norwegian Institute of Public Health has not found any evidence to suggest the deaths among the 23 severely frail and elderly people were associated with the vaccine.
"So far, there are no statistical analyses that indicate that coronavirus vaccination has had an increased risk of death among those vaccinated," said Dr. Sara Viksmoen Watle of the NIPH in a Jan. 18 statement.
The World Health Organization also conducted its own review and did not find "any unexpected or untoward increase in fatalities in frail, elderly individuals or unusual characteristics of adverse events following administration of BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech's COVID-19 vaccine)."
Fact check: Trump surgeon general initially dismissed mask-wearing, but then endorsed
Deaths in Portugal and Brazil
On Jan. 4, the British Daily Mail reported 41-year-old Portuguese health worker Sonia Acevedo had died on Jan. 1, "two days after getting the Pfizer covid vaccine." The article was among many others suggesting a correlation between the timing of her death and the vaccine.
In a Jan. 5 press release, the Portuguese Ministry of Justice stated preliminary autopsy findings did not indicate "evidence of a causal relationship between (Acevedo's) death and the vaccine she received." No cause of death was provided, the ministry citing the "secrecy of justice" as the reason why. USA TODAY used Google Translate and other translation services to interpret Portuguese into English.
Prior to Acevedo's death, a volunteer in the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine trial in Brazil died, CNN reported in October. Because AstraZeneca had not discontinued or paused the trial, as it had done in the past due to an "unexplained illness" among one of its U.K. Phase III trial volunteers, it appeared the volunteer's demise was not vaccine related.
"All significant medical incidents, whether participants are in the control group or the Covid-19 vaccine group, are independently reviewed. Following careful assessment of this case in Brazil, there have been no concerns about safety of the clinical trial and the independent review in addition to the Brazilian regulator have recommended that the trial should continue," said the University of Oxford, AstraZeneca's collaborator, in an emailed statement to CNN.
While no additional details on the death have been released because of "medical confidentiality and clinical trial regulations," an AstraZeneca spokesperson told CNN, Bloomberg reported the volunteer who died was not among the vaccine arm, per an insider source.
More:Fact check: Long-term face mask use will not cause lung cancer
Deaths of 2 California health workers
Three of the nine headlines in the Instagram post refer to deaths in Orange and Placer counties in California.
Tim Zook, an X-ray technologist at South Coast Global Medical Center in Santa Ana, received his second coronavirus vaccine dose on Jan. 5, according to both local FOX and CBS News affiliates. He was hospitalized after experiencing abdominal pain and difficulty breathing hours later, subsequently placed in a medically induced coma on Jan. 7 and died on Jan. 9.
Zook's death has been reported to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System, a national monitoring system co-managed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
No cause of death has been identified; further investigation is underway.
"The Orange County Coroner has an open death investigation into Zook’s death and will be conducting additional tests within its autopsy protocol ... it will use those findings, along with autopsy findings, to make a final determination into the cause and manner of death which will not likely occur for 3-4 months," said the Orange County Coroner's office in an email to USA TODAY.
If the death is ruled vaccine-related, the office stated it would immediately notify the Orange County Health Care Agency.
In Placer County, an unnamed health worker died on Jan. 21 several hours after being vaccinated, NBC News Wisconsin affiliate reported.
The 64-year-old male had tested positive for the novel coronavirus in late December; at the time of his death, health officials did not indicate whether this factored into his health or demise.
The Placer County Sheriff-Coroner Division ruled out the vaccine as a cause of death in an updated statement released Jan. 30 on its Facebook page.
"Through our investigation, we have learned more details about the individual. We have learned that not only had he recently been diagnosed with COVID-19, he also had underlying health issues, and had been exhibiting symptoms of illness at the time the vaccine was administered. Clinical examination and lab results have determined the COVID-19 vaccine has been ruled out as a contributing factor in the individual's death."
Florida doctor's death still under investigation
Obstetrician and gynecologist Dr. Gregory Michael died from complications of immune thrombocytopenia, or ITP – poor blood clotting due to a lack of platelets – in early January.
The 56-year-old received Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine on Dec. 18 at Mount Sinai Medical Center in Miami Beach, where he practiced, and died 16 days later from a brain hemorrhage after multiple treatments for his ITP failed, The New York Times reported.
Pfizer told the Times it was "actively investigating" the doctor's death "but we don't believe at this time that there is any direct connection to the vaccine."
Thirty-six other similar cases of ITP have been reported to VAERS, the Times reported in early February, but it is unknown whether these events are causally related to the vaccine.
It is worth noting ITP was not observed in either Moderna or Pfizer's large clinical trials of combined over 70,000 participants.
More:Fact check: Amish communities have been affected by COVID-19 pandemic
Death of Virginia woman believed not due to vaccine, investigation underway for death of New York man
Earlier in February, Drene Keyes of Gloucester, Virginia, and an unnamed New York City resident in his 70s were reported to have died shortly after vaccination.
NBC news reported Keyes, 58, was vaccinated with the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine on Feb. 5. She remained in the clinic for the recommended 15-minute observation period to monitor for any allergic reaction before being discharged. Keyes later returned with complaints of vomiting and trouble breathing, at which point she was rushed to Virginia Commonwealth University Health Tappahannock Hospital. She died the next day.
According to Dr. M. Norman Oliver, Virginia state health commissioner, Keyes' death did not appear connected to any vaccine-related allergic reaction.
"Preliminary findings indicate that the cause of death was not anaphylaxis, but it will take several weeks for additional information to become available," he said in a statement on Feb. 5. "We can confirm that the death occurred within hours of having received the vaccine, but that is not evidence of it being related. We are currently investigating and do not yet know the cause of death."
The unnamed New York City man died on Feb. 7 after collapsing outside of Manhattan's Jacob K. Javits Convention Center, where he received his vaccine 25 minutes earlier, the New York Post reported.
In a statement, New York state health commissioner Dr. Howard Zucker said the man "exhibited no adverse reactions or any distress" during the 15-minute observation period.
No official cause of death has been concluded but a medical investigation is underway, reported local CBS News affiliate CBS 2.
More:Fact check: Merck discontinues COVID-19 vaccine work over weak immune response
Correlation is not causation
While reports of deaths following COVID-19 vaccination may sound alarming, health care experts are reminding the public there is no conclusive association between the two.
"These vaccines have had incredible safety profiles in the trials and post-authorization. So far, there has been nothing to confirm these awful events," said Dr. John Brownstein, an epidemiologist at Boston Children's Hospital, to ABC News in February.
"These medical events occur every single day, including unexplained illnesses," said Dr. William Schaffner, professor of medicine in the Division of Infectious Diseases at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, also to ABC News. "The question really is, do they occur at a greater rate in the vaccinated population than they do in the general population?"
So far according to a recent CDC report, nearly 90% of VAERS reports were "nonserious events and involved local and systemic symptoms." The CDC estimated out of a million people, allergic reactions happened in roughly five, a number within range of what has been reported with other vaccines for the flu, meningitis and shingles.
The data analyzed was collected between Dec. 14, 2020, and Jan. 13, a time period that saw 13.8 million doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines administered.
A total of 113 deaths were reported, including from death certificates and autopsy reports, but no causal link between coronavirus vaccination and death was found, according to the CDC.
Our ruling: Missing context
We rate this claim MISSING CONTEXT because without additional context it might be misleading. The deaths of various individuals across the U.S. and elsewhere following COVID-19 vaccination did occur, but the vaccine has not been identified as a cause of death. A recent CDC report found that of the 113 death reports to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System between Dec. 14 and Jan. 13 — a time period which saw 13.8 million doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines administered — no causal link between vaccination and death was found.
Our fact-check sources:
- USA TODAY, Feb. 22, "US on the cusp of 500,000 coronavirus deaths; Britain rolls out plan to ease lockdown despite variant: Latest COVID-19 updates"
- Johns Hopkins University of Medicine, Feb. 22, "Mortality Analyses"
- Know Your Meme, accessed Feb. 22, "Guess I'll Die"
- U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, March 2, 2020, "The Tuskegee Timeline"
- New York Post, Jan. 15, "23 die in Norway after receiving Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine: officials"
- PolitiFact, Feb. 5, "No evidence that COVID-19 vaccinations caused deaths of senior citizens"
- Associated Press, Jan. 22, "Hank Aaron, baseball's one-time home run king, dies at 86"
- USA TODAY, Jan. 27, "Fact check: Not likely that COVID-19 vaccine was cause of Hank Aaron's death"
- Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Jan. 19, "International interest about deaths following coronavirus vaccination"
- The World Health Organization, Jan. 22, "GACVS COVID-19 Vaccine Safety subcommittee meeting to review reports of deaths of very frail elderly individuals vaccinated with Pfizer BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine, BNT162b2"
- The Daily Mail, Jan. 4, "Portuguese health worker, 41, dies two days after getting the Pfizer covid vaccine as her father says he 'wants answers'"
- Health Feedback, Jan. 8, "COVID-19 vaccine did not cause the death of a Portuguese woman, contrary to social media posts' suggestions"
- Portugal Ministry of Justice, Jan. 5, "Autópsia de funcionária do IPO não estabelece relação direta com vacina contra a Covid-19"
- CNN, Oct. 21, 2020, "Coronavirus vaccine volunteer in Brazil's AstraZeneca trial dies – but authorities say trial to continue"
- AstraZeneca, Sept. 9, 2020, "Statement on AstraZeneca Oxford SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, AZD1222, COVID-19 vaccine trials temporary pause"
- Bloomberg, Oct. 21, 2020, "Deceased AstraZeneca Trial Volunteer Didn't Receive Vaccine"
- FOX 11 Los Angeles, Jan. 28, "OC health care worker dies after receiving 2nd COVID-19 vaccine shot; official cause of death pending"
- CBS Los Angeles, Jan. 28, "60-Year-Old Father Dies After Receiving Second Dose Of Pfizer Vaccine"
- The OC Register, Jan. 26, "Health care worker dies after second dose of COVID vaccine, investigations underway"
- Orange County Coroner's office, Feb. 22, Email.
- NBC15 Madison, Jan. 25, "Individual in California dies hours after receiving COVID-19 vaccine"
- Placer County Sheriff's Office, Jan. 30, Facebook post.
- Mayo Clinic, April 8, 2020, "Thrombocytopenia"
- The New York Times, Jan. 12, "Doctor's Death After Covid Vaccine Is Being Investigated"
- The New York Times, Feb. 8, "A Few Covid Vaccine Recipients Developed a Rare Blood Disorder"
- Blood, April 17, 2017, "Clinical updates in adult immune thrombocytopenia"
- Food and Drug Administration, Nov. 30, 2020, "Emergency Use of Authorization (EUA) for an Unapproved Product Review Memorandum ModernaTX"
- Food and Drug Administration, Nov. 20, 2020, "Emergency Use of Authorization (EUA) for an Unapproved Product Review Memorandum Pfizer"
- American Journal of Gastroenterology, accessed Feb. 23, "Platelets in inflammatory bowel disease: clinical, pathogenic, and therapeutic implications"
- NBC News, Feb. 5, "Virginia woman dies shortly after Covid vaccination, though no link has been found"
- New York Post, Feb. 7, "Elderly man collapses, dies shortly after getting COVID-19 vaccine at Javits Center"
- CBS 2, Feb. 8, "Medical Examiner Investigation Death Of Elderly Man Who Collapsed After Getting COVID Vaccine At Javits Center"
- ABC News, Feb. 3, "Fact-check: No link between COVID-19 vaccines and those who die after receiving them"
- U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Feb. 19, "First Month of COVID-19 Vaccine Safety Monitoring — United States, December 14, 2020–January 13, 2021"
Thank you for supporting our journalism. You can subscribe to our print edition, ad-free app or electronic newspaper replica here.
Our fact check work is supported in part by a grant from Facebook.